Showing posts with label black swan fallacy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label black swan fallacy. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Black Swan Fallacy


The black swan fallacy is where the arguer ignores contradictory evidence on the basis of past experience

Argument: All the swans I have ever seen have been white. Therefore, all swans are white
Reply: Here is a black swan
Retort: All swans are white, therefore that cannot be a swan.